June 1st marked the start of hurricane season and within days of the commencement, nearly 14 storms were predicted to stir up some trouble along the coast. Now, with a little bit over a month into the 2017 hurricane season, meteorologists have made a new and more startling discovery; just recently, Colorado State University has announced a significant increase in hurricane activity during the 2017 hurricane season. The newest forecast has detected and named 15 major storms that will touch land along the Atlantic Basin.
Storm’s A Brewin’
With great effort from the Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project, many reports have been issued on suspected hurricanes and tropical storms to reach the Atlantic Coast.
Originally, the 30-year historical average of total storms named was set at 12, with 6 hurricanes, 3 of which are a category or higher. However, both Colorado State University (CSU) along with The Weather Channel have adjusted this predicament and have stated that there are to be 15 major storms and 8 hurricanes, 3 of which that could potentially progress into a category 3 or higher. Here are the named storms to keep an eye on this year:
- Arlene* 8. Harvey 15. Ophelia
- Bret** 9. Irma 16. Philippe
- Cindy** 10. Jose 17. Rina
- Don 11. Katia 18. Sean
- Emily 12. Lee 19. Tammy
- Franklin 13. Maria 20. Vince
- Gert 14. Nate 21. Whitney
*Made landfall in April 2017-Tropical Storm
**Made landfall in June 2017-Tropical Storms
The spike in storms during this year’s hurricane season has been determined to be a result of warm water temperatures within the areas of the subtropic and tropic Atlantic Ocean. In addition, El Niño is showing signs of little development this summer which in turn, has contributed to the sudden increase of tropical storms and hurricanes. CSU explained, “A warmer-than-normal tropical Atlantic is generally associated with lower surface pressures, increased mid-level moisture and weaker trade winds, creating a more conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification” (Source). CSU has also stated that even though the notorious widespread winds correlated with El Niño will most likely not be present this season, strong and harsh winds will still occur in the Atlantic Basin, regardless.
With consistent warm water temperatures and the astonishingly low odds of the formation of El Niño, 2017 looks to be a busy hurricane season. Though these storms have been predicted and even named by highly accomplished meteorologists, there is always the possibility that only a few of them–maybe even none–may make landfall along the Atlantic Coast. That being said, it is still highly advised for residents on the coast to still take proper preventative measures for the predicted storms.
Always know your local evacuation route and keep a plan in place for you and your family to follow in the event of a storm.